No Nixon-in-China moment for Britain
The UK can still contribute to a sustainable EU with its “referendum lock” – it will just have more bargaining power.
As a member of an EU group of “wisemen” for the best of the last two
years I have (re)learned that it does not pay trying to reinvent
politicians – especially when you are neither wise nor a man. When it
comes to day-to-day politics we academics are better off listening,
translating and embellishing.
The Federal Trust invites us to ask: “Under the Coalition Government
with its mixture of differing attitudes towards Europe, can the British
be persuaded to move on from their historic position of isolation and
play the leading part in the centre of the European community that the
major European nations would like them to take on?” Tempting isn’t it?
But “centre”, I do not think so! Cameron is unlikely to give Britain its
Nixon-in-China moment. And nor would others in Europe accept the
prospect. Instead let us ride with this government’s (pragmatic) flow.
This government has certainly tempered its opposition rhetoric to take a
more pragmatic attitude to Europe in the last few months. This was
inevitable, in a Clegg-cum-Hague government. The rest of the EU will
look at a post-European Union Bill UK with a mix of resentment, relief
and admiration. With a stroke of the legislative pen, London will have
significantly increased its bargaining power in Brussels, an unappealing
prospect in the shadow of the Irish referenda saga. How cunning, as the
nosemonkey blogger so aptly puts it.
A “referendum lock” before further transfers of power to the EU and
“national sovereignty” safeguards to keep authority over laws in
Westminster can be used to great effect both at home and abroad. But
there are pragmatic safeguards in the Bill, too: ministers have the
final say on what EU laws are significant enough to merit being caught
in the net, no referendum will be needed for enlargement, say to Turkey,
and the bill can be repealed at any time through simple majority. From
such a position of strength, the government can afford to own up to its
pragmatism.
First, in words and deeds, it can use the “sovereignty fix” to rebuke
the supranational fix elsewhere in Europe more intelligently and in more
subtle terms that the rest of the EU expects them to. This means waking
up the British public to a world where “parliamentary sovereignty” is
irredeemably shared or at least constrained. And it means recognizing
that both postures, sovereignist and pure supranationalist, have to do
with an obsession with oneness: we need one polity (national or
European) in order to have democracy, effective governance and so on.
But it is precisely pluralist Britain who should resist these two sides
of the same coin about the EU. As many EU scholars but too few EU
politicians recognize, the EU rests on a fascinatingly precarious
balance. That is why it must be thought of as a federal union not a
federal state, a “demoi-cracy” in the making. A Britain that handles
sovereignty questions maturely in Westminster will be best placed to
defend this precarious balance in Brussels.
Second, if ad-hoc pragmatism is to serve Britain in Europe, the
government needs to appear constructive and propose broad and mobilizing
goals for the EU. Working out what the franco-british deal on defense
implies for the EU as a whole is a good place to start. So is the issue
of UK vs EU representation in international institutions like the UN,
IMF or G20 – think leadership, rotation, alliances. And so is the
challenge of developing an EU that is better owned by its citizens and
public opinions. On these grounds, the UK is best placed to articulate
an alternative to the deluded prospect of a new core Europe, leaving its
periphery behind. The UK is most strikingly both, core (defense) and
periphery (euro), but so are many member states. And those with the
pretention to be the real core, headed for a federal Europe, have little
to show for it these days.
Instead, and as I have argued elsewhere, the UK can champion an
ambitious yet pragmatic goal for the EU, that of “sustainable”
integration. Helping governments to act for the long term and support
each other through unpopular short-term measures is the EU’s greatest
comparative advantage. The goal ought to be an EU focused on
sustainability in all realms of policy making, from finance and green
growth, to defense, migration policy and global governance. Cameron may
never be a Nixon-in-China for Europe but he can certainly do with a dose
of EU solidarity and resilience as he contemplates the choppy waters
ahead.
This piece is published in 'What future for Europe?', the accompanying pamphlet to Policy Network's conference on the future of the EU on 11 February 2011.
Kalypso Nicolaïdis is director of the European Studies Centre and a Fellow at St Antony's College at the University of Oxford
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